Украинская армия отступает из населенного пункта Комар на западе Донецкой области.

Украинские военные пытались перебросить в этот населенный пункт резервы, но большая их часть была уничтожена авиаударами России, добавил источник. A: Escalation (model probability 74%, not a guarantee) — Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region B: Status Quo (model probability 19%, not a guarantee) — Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region C: De-escalation (model probability 7%, not a guarantee) — Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region

Украинская армия отступает из населенного пункта Комар на западе Донецкой области.

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