Сценарий A: Эскалация?

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Сценарии Scenario A (Escalation) — 35% Cyprus marks 52nd anniversary of 1974 coup today, with tensions rising in the region. The event is likely to trigger a series of diplomatic escalations and potentially increased military activity. Индикаторы подтверждения: Increased rhetoric from Greek Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot leaders, heightened border security measures by Turkey and Cyprus, and potential for renewed clashes between pro-Turkish and pro-Greek factions in Cyprus. Гориз (35% model probability, not a guarantee)